Who wins more faceoffs, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Jean-Gabriel Pageau's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau is 3-5 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-1, Defensive 2-0, Neutral 0-4.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 69.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nathan MacKinnon

Jean-Gabriel PageauR vs Nathan MacKinnonR

2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 53.2% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+10.4%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 70.7%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 62.9%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 71.7%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 69.2%

30.8%

69.2%

Pageau MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 5 (8 meetings)

Pageau MacKinnon

Last 8: Pageau 3-5 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

Pageau MacKinnon

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Pageau

Pageau MacKinnon

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Pageau MacKinnon

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Pageau

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

53.5% (826)

44.4% (743)

+9.1%

Power Play

59.2% (120)

35.7% (70)

+23.5%

Penalty Kill

50.2% (203)

25.9% (27)

+24.3%

On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Pageau is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (353).

Pageau shoots right. MacKinnon is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (194).

Home / Away

Pageau

MacKinnon

Home

55.7% (618)

46.4% (394)

Away

51.0% (531)

40.1% (446)

By Period

Pageau

MacKinnon

52.5%

44.4%

56.1%

38.2%

50.8%

46.4%

61.3%

50.0%

Final 5 min

51.3%

44.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Pageau

72.0%▲

62.5%

53.5%

MacKinnon

54.0%▬

54.5%

43.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 11, 2020	2	07:24	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 11, 2020	1	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2020	3	04:32	Offensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 6, 2020	3	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2020	2	19:16	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2020	2	16:39	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 6, 2020	1	03:16	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 6, 2020	1	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon

Pageau's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile