Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Schmaltz
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 89.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Pageau
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
Last 5: Pageau 4-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
42.9% (133)
+12.9%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
55.1% (89)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
47.1% (17)
+4.1%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Pageau
Schmaltz
Home
57.1% (674)
41.6% (125)
Away
53.5% (678)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Pageau
Schmaltz
P1
56.9%
40.0%
P2
54.5%
59.5%
P3
54.7%
45.0%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |