Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Schmaltz
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 74.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 95.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Pageau
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
38.5% (309)
+18.6%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
53.2% (79)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
25.0% (12)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Pageau
Schmaltz
Home
57.0% (618)
38.0% (184)
Away
53.9% (607)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Pageau
Schmaltz
P1
54.4%
40.3%
P2
61.0%
39.9%
P3
51.0%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |