Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Schmaltz
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 87.0%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 74.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Pageau
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pageau
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
48.1% (268)
+11.5%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
50.5% (91)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
58.8% (17)
-2.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Pageau
Schmaltz
Home
59.3% (506)
49.0% (206)
Away
60.0% (482)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Pageau
Schmaltz
P1
56.8%
53.6%
P2
64.4%
46.2%
P3
56.9%
50.4%
OT
75.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
61.1%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |