Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nico Sturm
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Sturm 52.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 81.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 54.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 67.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Pageau
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pageau
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
54.0% (480)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
28.6% (7)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
50.0% (102)
+1.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Pageau
Sturm
Home
57.1% (674)
54.0% (287)
Away
53.5% (678)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Pageau
Sturm
P1
56.9%
53.5%
P2
54.5%
51.0%
P3
54.7%
55.1%
OT
52.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |