Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nico Sturm
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.6% vs 58.8%). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Sturm 57.1% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Pageau
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
62.1% (356)
-2.5%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
75.0% (4)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
38.7% (62)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Pageau
Sturm
Home
59.3% (506)
61.8% (191)
Away
60.0% (482)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Pageau
Sturm
P1
56.8%
58.0%
P2
64.4%
57.9%
P3
56.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
61.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%