Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicolas Roy
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Roy 48.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 60.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 67.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Pageau
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Pageau
Roy
Last 10: Pageau 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Pageau
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
4
Pageau
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pageau
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
48.7% (3,719)
+7.0%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
49.5% (283)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
45.5% (477)
+4.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Pageau
Roy
Home
56.3% (6,214)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Pageau
Roy
P1
54.6%
50.8%
P2
56.3%
46.3%
P3
53.5%
48.1%
OT
54.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |