Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicolas Roy

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 58.8% vs Roy 53.0% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone Pageau 52.0%
Defensive zone Roy 52.5%
Neutral zone Pageau 54.4%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Pageau Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
53.9% (449)
+5.3%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
53.3% (30)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
51.3% (78)
+10.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +16.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Pageau shoots right. Roy is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Pageau
Roy
Home
59.5% (299)
54.9% (293)
Away
60.4% (389)
51.9% (264)
By Period
Pageau
Roy
P1
55.3%
55.0%
P2
62.2%
51.7%
P3
61.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
62.4%
49.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%
62.5%
60.0%
Roy
54.0%
52.0%
53.5%