Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicolas Roy
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Roy 47.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 64.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Pageau
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pageau
Roy
Last 6: Pageau 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Pageau
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Pageau
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
47.5% (617)
+9.6%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
39.6% (53)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
46.4% (97)
+1.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Pageau
Roy
Home
57.0% (618)
47.2% (398)
Away
53.9% (607)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Pageau
Roy
P1
54.4%
48.6%
P2
61.0%
48.8%
P3
51.0%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |