Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicolas Roy
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Roy 48.3% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 55.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 51.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Pageau
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pageau
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
48.3% (633)
+10.5%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
52.1% (48)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
43.7% (87)
+4.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Pageau
Roy
Home
59.0% (595)
50.8% (376)
Away
55.7% (661)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Pageau
Roy
P1
58.9%
53.8%
P2
57.9%
43.5%
P3
55.6%
46.4%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |