Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicolas Roy

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 58.8% vs Roy 51.9% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone Pageau 52.6%
Defensive zone Roy 55.5%
Neutral zone Pageau 51.7%
Result Nicolas Roy favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Pageau Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
51.9% (547)
+7.2%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
54.1% (37)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
53.3% (92)
+6.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +15.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Pageau
Roy
Home
57.8% (377)
54.0% (328)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Pageau
Roy
P1
54.1%
53.5%
P2
62.1%
51.6%
P3
61.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
59.7%
Roy
46.0%
49.0%
52.2%