Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nicolas Roy
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Roy 47.9% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Pageau
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pageau
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Pageau
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
48.6% (679)
+11.0%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
48.0% (50)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
34.7% (49)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Pageau
Roy
Home
59.3% (506)
49.3% (345)
Away
60.0% (482)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Pageau
Roy
P1
56.8%
47.6%
P2
64.4%
47.1%
P3
56.9%
47.9%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |