Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 51.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Pageau
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau
Dubois
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Pageau
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
49.3% (842)
+7.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
57.1% (35)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
55.6% (9)
-7.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Dubois is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Pageau
Dubois
Home
57.0% (618)
51.0% (445)
Away
53.9% (607)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Pageau
Dubois
P1
54.4%
50.3%
P2
61.0%
49.5%
P3
51.0%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |