Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Dubois 49.4% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 71.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 89.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Pageau
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pageau
Dubois
Last 5: Pageau 4-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Dubois
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
46.2% (225)
+12.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
66.7% (27)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
75.0% (8)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Dubois is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Pageau
Dubois
Home
57.8% (377)
46.6% (163)
Away
61.0% (559)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Pageau
Dubois
P1
54.1%
45.0%
P2
62.1%
52.3%
P3
61.8%
50.5%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |