Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Dubois 49.7% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 85.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 90.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Pageau
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Pageau
Dubois
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Dubois
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Dubois
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
49.8% (1,064)
+9.8%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
46.3% (67)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
53.3% (30)
+3.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Dubois is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Pageau
Dubois
Home
59.3% (506)
48.3% (582)
Away
60.0% (482)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Pageau
Dubois
P1
56.8%
52.0%
P2
64.4%
49.9%
P3
56.9%
46.9%
OT
75.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |