Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Dubois 46.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 37-18 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 82.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 98.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 96.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Pageau
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
18
(55 meetings)
37
18
Pageau
Dubois
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
12
10
Pageau
Dubois
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
14
4
Pageau
Dubois
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
4
Pageau
Dubois
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
46.2% (7,002)
+9.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
51.3% (606)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
48.1% (108)
+1.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Dubois is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,643).
Home / Away
Pageau
Dubois
Home
56.3% (6,214)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Pageau
Dubois
P1
54.6%
47.6%
P2
56.3%
45.6%
P3
53.5%
46.8%
OT
54.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |