Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Thomas 44.6% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 57.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Pageau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Thomas
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Pageau
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (826)
42.1% (297)
+11.4%
Power Play
59.2% (120)
50.0% (16)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (203)
75.0% (4)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
55.7% (618)
40.9% (186)
Away
51.0% (531)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
52.5%
43.3%
P2
56.1%
40.6%
P3
50.8%
45.3%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |