Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Thomas 52.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Pageau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Pageau
Thomas
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Pageau
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
1
Pageau
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
53.6% (924)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
55.2% (181)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
44.0% (116)
+4.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
59.0% (595)
53.6% (606)
Away
55.7% (661)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
58.9%
48.2%
P2
57.9%
55.3%
P3
55.6%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |