Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Thomas 52.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 50.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Pageau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Pageau
Thomas
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Pageau
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
0
Pageau
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
53.2% (1,166)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
56.9% (262)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
48.4% (221)
-0.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
57.0% (618)
51.6% (830)
Away
53.9% (607)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
54.4%
52.7%
P2
61.0%
55.6%
P3
51.0%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |