Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Thomas 51.7% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Pageau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
50.1% (615)
+9.0%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
62.2% (98)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
52.6% (114)
+7.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
57.8% (377)
51.9% (374)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
54.1%
49.2%
P2
62.1%
55.3%
P3
61.8%
50.6%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |