Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Thomas 54.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 60.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Pageau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau
Thomas
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
55.3% (990)
+4.3%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
54.2% (190)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
52.5% (158)
+3.9%
On power play, Pageau has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
59.3% (506)
55.1% (690)
Away
60.0% (482)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
56.8%
55.5%
P2
64.4%
56.4%
P3
56.9%
51.5%
OT
75.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |