Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Reinhart
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 58.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 70.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Pageau
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pageau
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Pageau
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
44.6% (345)
+12.5%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
43.3% (97)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
43.2% (88)
+4.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Reinhart is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Pageau
Reinhart
Home
57.0% (618)
47.9% (267)
Away
53.9% (607)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Pageau
Reinhart
P1
54.4%
45.6%
P2
61.0%
42.0%
P3
51.0%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |