Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Reinhart
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 66.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Pageau
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pageau
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
44.1% (324)
+15.5%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
40.3% (72)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
33.9% (118)
+22.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Pageau
Reinhart
Home
59.3% (506)
40.5% (232)
Away
60.0% (482)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Pageau
Reinhart
P1
56.8%
46.4%
P2
64.4%
32.6%
P3
56.9%
45.4%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |