Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Reinhart
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Pageau
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
39.0% (77)
+20.1%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
35.4% (48)
+34.0%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
40.9% (22)
+19.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Reinhart is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Pageau
Reinhart
Home
57.8% (377)
35.7% (84)
Away
61.0% (559)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Pageau
Reinhart
P1
54.1%
42.6%
P2
62.1%
34.7%
P3
61.8%
37.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |