Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Reinhart
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 82.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 98.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 95.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Pageau
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Pageau
Reinhart
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
5
Pageau
Reinhart
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
1
Pageau
Reinhart
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Pageau
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
42.5% (2,173)
+13.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
46.5% (525)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
41.3% (339)
+8.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Pageau
Reinhart
Home
56.3% (6,214)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Pageau
Reinhart
P1
54.6%
44.5%
P2
56.3%
40.5%
P3
53.5%
44.5%
OT
54.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |