Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Trent Frederic
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Frederic 46.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 85.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Pageau
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pageau
Frederic
Last 8: Pageau 6-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Frederic
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
45.8% (262)
+11.3%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
57.1% (7)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
36.4% (22)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Frederic is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frederic
Home
57.0% (618)
44.1% (152)
Away
53.9% (607)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Pageau
Frederic
P1
54.4%
41.7%
P2
61.0%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |