Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Trent Frederic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Frederic 54.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 63.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.4%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Pageau
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
57.6% (151)
+1.5%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
66.7% (3)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Frederic is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frederic
Home
57.8% (377)
55.6% (81)
Away
61.0% (559)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Pageau
Frederic
P1
54.1%
57.7%
P2
62.1%
54.3%
P3
61.8%
60.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |