Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Trent Frederic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Frederic 54.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 67.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.8%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Pageau
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
58.0% (138)
+1.2%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
66.7% (3)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Frederic is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frederic
Home
59.5% (299)
58.1% (74)
Away
60.4% (389)
58.2% (67)
By Period
Pageau
Frederic
P1
55.3%
57.1%
P2
62.2%
51.3%
P3
61.1%
64.2%
Final 5 min
62.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Frederic
62.0%▲
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |