Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Trent Frederic
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Frederic 45.7% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Pageau
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
42.6% (195)
+17.0%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
64.3% (14)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
25.0% (4)
+31.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Frederic is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frederic
Home
59.3% (506)
48.6% (107)
Away
60.0% (482)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Pageau
Frederic
P1
56.8%
37.5%
P2
64.4%
44.8%
P3
56.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |