Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Trent Frederic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Frederic 46.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 81.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Pageau
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Pageau
Frederic
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Frederic
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
2
Pageau
Frederic
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
46.3% (909)
+9.4%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
63.3% (30)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
35.5% (31)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Frederic is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frederic
Home
56.3% (6,214)
47.6% (485)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Pageau
Frederic
P1
54.6%
41.9%
P2
56.3%
48.0%
P3
53.5%
49.8%
OT
54.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |