Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Seguin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Seguin 52.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 54.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Pageau
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pageau
Seguin
Last 6: Pageau 3-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Pageau
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (676)
53.2% (201)
+6.3%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
60.0% (25)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
44.4% (9)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pageau is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Pageau shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Pageau
Seguin
Home
58.2% (364)
56.3% (126)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Pageau
Seguin
P1
54.4%
44.3%
P2
62.3%
52.1%
P3
62.0%
62.5%
OT
75.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▼
59.5%
59.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |