Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Seguin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 58.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Pageau
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pageau
Seguin
Last 6: Pageau 3-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Pageau
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
53.2% (201)
+5.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
60.0% (25)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
44.4% (9)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Pageau
Seguin
Home
57.8% (377)
56.3% (126)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Pageau
Seguin
P1
54.1%
44.3%
P2
62.1%
52.1%
P3
61.8%
62.5%
OT
75.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |