Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 69.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Pageau
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
20
(42 meetings)
22
20
Pageau
Seguin
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
7
Pageau
Seguin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
3
Pageau
Seguin
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
10
Pageau
Seguin
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
53.7% (8,071)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
55.9% (810)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
49.3% (762)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Pageau
Seguin
Home
56.3% (6,214)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Pageau
Seguin
P1
54.6%
52.8%
P2
56.3%
53.3%
P3
53.5%
54.7%
OT
54.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |