Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Seguin
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Seguin 51.8% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Pageau
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Pageau
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
54.8% (135)
+4.8%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
58.3% (24)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
26.7% (15)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Pageau
Seguin
Home
59.3% (506)
47.4% (95)
Away
60.0% (482)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Pageau
Seguin
P1
56.8%
50.8%
P2
64.4%
57.1%
P3
56.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |