Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tyler Seguin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Seguin 54.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Pageau
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Pageau
Seguin
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
2
Pageau
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
55.0% (713)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
56.7% (104)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
47.2% (53)
+1.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Pageau
Seguin
Home
59.0% (595)
56.2% (443)
Away
55.7% (661)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Pageau
Seguin
P1
58.9%
54.2%
P2
57.9%
52.9%
P3
55.6%
57.1%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |