Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Hayes 43.8% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 87.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Carter
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carter
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
42.7% (478)
+15.2%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
42.9% (98)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
45.2% (31)
+0.2%
On power play, Carter has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Carter
Hayes
Home
58.2% (543)
43.5% (232)
Away
55.9% (594)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Carter
Hayes
P1
57.5%
40.1%
P2
57.1%
44.8%
P3
55.8%
42.4%
OT
68.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |