Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Hayes 49.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 73.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 89.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Carter
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Carter
Hayes
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Hayes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
0
Carter
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
48.5% (557)
+11.2%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
53.3% (107)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
58.3% (12)
-5.1%
On power play, Carter has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Carter
Hayes
Home
58.7% (455)
50.8% (313)
Away
60.0% (483)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Carter
Hayes
P1
61.3%
52.3%
P2
57.1%
47.7%
P3
59.8%
48.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |