Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Hayes 56.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 71.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Carter
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carter
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
56.6% (724)
+9.0%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
57.0% (79)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
65.7% (35)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Carter
Hayes
Home
64.3% (207)
58.0% (405)
Away
60.8% (217)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Carter
Hayes
P1
65.3%
54.7%
P2
60.1%
55.7%
P3
63.8%
60.2%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |