Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.5%). Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Draisaitl 50.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Carter
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Carter
Draisaitl
Last 9: Carter 3-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Carter
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Carter
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
51.5% (931)
-1.6%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
48.2% (282)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
48.8% (127)
-2.1%
On power play, Carter has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Draisaitl is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Carter
Draisaitl
Home
52.4% (638)
51.3% (637)
Away
50.0% (546)
49.8% (703)
By Period
Carter
Draisaitl
P1
49.6%
50.3%
P2
50.9%
47.4%
P3
53.0%
53.2%
OT
58.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |