Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 83.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 58.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Carter
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carter
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
57.4% (1,010)
+8.2%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
56.2% (331)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
54.5% (110)
-4.0%
On power play, Carter has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Carter
Draisaitl
Home
64.3% (207)
56.4% (734)
Away
60.8% (217)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Carter
Draisaitl
P1
65.3%
55.6%
P2
60.1%
62.1%
P3
63.8%
52.4%
OT
40.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
65.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |