Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 61.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 67.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Carter
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Carter
Draisaitl
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
6
Carter
Draisaitl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
2
Carter
Draisaitl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
52.6% (1,124)
+5.3%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
58.4% (344)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
49.2% (193)
-3.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Carter
Draisaitl
Home
58.2% (543)
55.5% (816)
Away
55.9% (594)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Carter
Draisaitl
P1
57.5%
51.1%
P2
57.1%
51.6%
P3
55.8%
56.9%
OT
68.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |