Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Scheifele 44.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 79.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 84.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Carter
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Carter
Scheifele
Last 8: Carter 7-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
44.5% (943)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
42.2% (180)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
44.2% (43)
-3.5%
On power play, Carter has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Carter is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Carter shoots right. Scheifele is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Carter
Scheifele
Home
50.8% (597)
47.4% (549)
Away
46.8% (631)
41.3% (617)
By Period
Carter
Scheifele
P1
48.8%
43.7%
P2
48.0%
44.5%
P3
49.4%
43.8%
OT
45.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |