Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 80.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Carter
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Carter
Scheifele
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
3
Carter
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
0
Carter
Scheifele
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
47.8% (960)
+11.9%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
47.0% (219)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
60.7% (28)
-7.5%
On power play, Carter has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Carter
Scheifele
Home
58.7% (455)
50.7% (611)
Away
60.0% (483)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Carter
Scheifele
P1
61.3%
51.4%
P2
57.1%
47.3%
P3
59.8%
45.0%
OT
57.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
60.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |