Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 37 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 53-30 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 80.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 93.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Carter
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
30
(83 meetings)
53
30
Carter
Scheifele
Last 10: Carter 8-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
8
13
Carter
Scheifele
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
19
6
Carter
Scheifele
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
26
11
Carter
Scheifele
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
46.3% (12,036)
+7.0%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
50.2% (2,563)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
41.6% (598)
+4.7%
On power play, Carter has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Home / Away
Carter
Scheifele
Home
54.7% (5,752)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Carter
Scheifele
P1
53.6%
48.2%
P2
52.8%
45.6%
P3
53.1%
46.8%
OT
56.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |