Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 76.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Carter
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Carter
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
48.1% (1,045)
+17.5%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
48.6% (181)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
44.4% (27)
+6.1%
On power play, Carter has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Carter
Scheifele
Home
64.3% (207)
52.7% (630)
Away
60.8% (217)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Carter
Scheifele
P1
65.3%
50.3%
P2
60.1%
46.8%
P3
63.8%
47.5%
OT
40.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |