Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 52.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 89.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 69.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Carter
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Carter
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
49.3% (649)
+8.6%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
55.7% (183)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
50.0% (16)
-4.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Carter
Scheifele
Home
58.2% (543)
52.3% (440)
Away
55.9% (594)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Carter
Scheifele
P1
57.5%
52.3%
P2
57.1%
50.4%
P3
55.8%
51.4%
OT
68.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |