Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Barzal 46.3% (+19.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 78.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 72.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Carter
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carter
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Carter
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
43.0% (114)
+22.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Carter
Barzal
Home
64.3% (207)
35.8% (53)
Away
60.8% (217)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Carter
Barzal
P1
65.3%
44.2%
P2
60.1%
38.5%
P3
63.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
65.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |