Jeff Carter vs Mathew Barzal

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jeff Carter holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carter 53.2% vs Barzal 42.2% (+11.2%)
H2H factor Barzal leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone Barzal 70.2%
Defensive zone Barzal 73.7%
Neutral zone Barzal 77.3%
Result Mathew Barzal favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Carter Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 12 (20 meetings)
8
12
Carter Barzal
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Barzal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
5
Carter Barzal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
7
Carter Barzal
12 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carter
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
41.9% (3,565)
+11.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
43.4% (205)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.3% (26)
+4.0%
On power play, Carter has a +13.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Carter
Barzal
Home
54.7% (5,752)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Carter
Barzal
P1
53.6%
40.7%
P2
52.8%
44.4%
P3
53.1%
41.0%
OT
56.5%
27.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
39.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%
61.5%
53.2%
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
42.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 31, 2023 1 17:04 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Dec 27, 2022 3 03:33 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Dec 27, 2022 2 01:45 Defensive Jeff Carter
Dec 27, 2022 1 01:03 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Apr 14, 2022 3 10:44 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Apr 14, 2022 2 11:01 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 14, 2022 2 01:57 Neutral Jeff Carter
Apr 14, 2022 2 01:49 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Apr 12, 2022 2 16:05 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Apr 12, 2022 1 05:52 Neutral Jeff Carter
Apr 12, 2022 1 00:32 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Nov 26, 2021 2 04:56 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Feb 6, 2020 3 15:20 Neutral Jeff Carter
Feb 6, 2020 3 11:03 Offensive Jeff Carter
Feb 6, 2020 3 02:37 Neutral Jeff Carter
Feb 6, 2020 3 00:28 Neutral Jeff Carter
Feb 6, 2020 3 00:23 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Feb 2, 2019 3 13:15 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Oct 18, 2018 2 00:38 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Oct 15, 2017 2 04:11 Offensive Mathew Barzal