Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs McCarron 53.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 55.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Carter
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
McCarron
Last 5: Carter 2-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Carter
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
57.5% (308)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
50.0% (2)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
32.6% (43)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Carter
McCarron
Home
58.2% (543)
48.3% (147)
Away
55.9% (594)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Carter
McCarron
P1
57.5%
53.4%
P2
57.1%
59.5%
P3
55.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |