Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs McCarron 52.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 52.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 52.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Carter
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
54.5% (618)
+11.1%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
42.1% (19)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
35.3% (34)
+15.2%
On power play, Carter has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Carter
McCarron
Home
64.3% (207)
52.2% (339)
Away
60.8% (217)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Carter
McCarron
P1
65.3%
53.5%
P2
60.1%
50.6%
P3
63.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
65.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |