Jeff Carter vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.8%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs McCarron 52.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 74.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 53.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Carter
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Carter
McCarron
Last 10: Carter 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Carter
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
53.4% (2,901)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
45.3% (86)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
50.5% (463)
-4.2%
On power play, Carter has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
Home / Away
Carter
McCarron
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Carter
McCarron
P1
53.6%
53.9%
P2
52.8%
52.5%
P3
53.1%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |