Jeff Carter vs Michael McCarron

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.8%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carter 53.2% vs McCarron 52.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor McCarron leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Carter 74.4%
Defensive zone McCarron 76.4%
Neutral zone McCarron 53.0%
Result Jeff Carter favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Carter McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 7 (12 meetings)
5
7
Carter McCarron
Last 10: Carter 5-5 McCarron

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Carter McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter McCarron
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carter
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
53.4% (2,901)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
45.3% (86)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
50.5% (463)
-4.2%
On power play, Carter has a +12.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
Home / Away
Carter
McCarron
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Carter
McCarron
P1
53.6%
53.9%
P2
52.8%
52.5%
P3
53.1%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%
61.5%
53.2%
McCarron
48.0%
48.5%
52.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 15, 2024 2 07:24 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 28, 2023 2 02:18 Neutral Jeff Carter
Mar 30, 2023 3 13:51 Offensive Michael McCarron
Mar 30, 2023 3 02:28 Offensive Jeff Carter
Mar 30, 2023 3 02:21 Offensive Jeff Carter
Mar 15, 2022 3 18:58 Offensive Jeff Carter
Mar 15, 2022 3 11:54 Defensive Michael McCarron
Mar 15, 2022 2 17:03 Neutral Jeff Carter
Mar 15, 2022 2 13:06 Offensive Michael McCarron
Mar 15, 2022 1 07:13 Defensive Michael McCarron
Mar 3, 2016 2 12:21 Defensive Michael McCarron
Mar 3, 2016 1 14:39 Neutral Michael McCarron