Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Dowd 53.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 86.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Carter
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
55.4% (771)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
57.1% (7)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
45.5% (165)
-0.1%
On power play, Carter has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Carter
Dowd
Home
58.2% (543)
58.2% (462)
Away
55.9% (594)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Carter
Dowd
P1
57.5%
55.6%
P2
57.1%
50.5%
P3
55.8%
53.9%
OT
68.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |